Saturday, May 17, 2014

2014 Season Review: Jonas Jerebko

Jonas Jerebko may stand to benefit the most from the change in scheme heading into the 2014-15 season, assuming he picks up his $4.5M player option.  Jerebko's skill-set plays into what Stan Van Gundy values in a forward, and he may see more of the consistent minutes that allowed him to flourish after John Loyer took over for the last 32 games of the Pistons season.  Jerebko never seemed to mesh with Mo Cheeks' system early in the year, recording 17 of his 18 DNPs during Cheeks' tenure.  Jerebko averaged 16.1 minutes per game while Loyer was at the helm, as opposed to the 7.4 minutes per game he received under Cheeks.  Jerebko's potential for quality perimeter shooting and his 7'2 wingspan provide the kind of versatility that the Pistons should be more willing to take advantage of going forward.  Here's a look at what Jerebko was able to produce for Detroit in the 2013-14 season:

13.4 4.2 57.7% 54.6% 41.9% 12.9% 7.8% 15.5%

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From a scoring standpoint, there isn't much more you could have asked for from Jerebko this past year.  He scored efficiently, as evidenced by his 57.7 TS%.  He converted 41.9% of his three-point attempts, which was easily a career high, and probably a bit of a fluke.  Jerebko had never made more than 31.3% of his three-point attempts in any prior season, and shot them at a rate nearly 1.5 times higher than his career attempt rate.  I don't expect Jerebko to shoot over 40% from three again next season.  However, he should be at least an average outside shooter, which is all he really needs to be in order to provide the Pistons with a stretch four off the bench.  Jerebko maintained a solid Free Throw Rate of .284 despite taking a higher proportion of attempts from beyond the arc than his career average.  This should be a good sign going forward that Jerebko's offense has gained in efficiency.  Jerebko picking up his option for next season should be welcomed by Pistons fans.


Jerebko hit 15 of his 22 attempts from the corners this season, an asset that needs to be explored further next year.  Aside from his solid perimeter shooting, Jerebko didn't really stand out from any other particular area.  He improved his ability to finish at the rim this season, after shooting just 53% there in the 2012-13 season.  Looking at this zone breakdown of Jerebko's shooting begs the question of whether or not he has ever been properly utilized in Detroit.  Jerebko should strictly be a threes and layups player, as it doesn't appear he has any mid-range game whatsoever.  Look for Stan Van Gundy to take advantage of this in the upcoming season.



2014-15 Status: $4,500,000 Player Option

I'm certainly expecting Jerebko to pick up his player option.  He might be able to fetch $4.5M per season on the open market, but with a good year in a system that would seem to fit his skills, he may be able to rein in a larger deal in the 2015 offseason.  If he elects for free agency, take it as a sign that he's tired of playing for the organization.  If he does return, expect Jerebko to see minutes consistent with what he did under Loyer for the final 32 games of 2014.  He might not shoot the three as well again next year, but should be utilized more effectively.  The one area he should be working on this offseason is his rebounding.  A better ability to end possessions on the defensive end of the floor would go a long way towards getting him more consistent minutes.  Nonetheless, 2013-14 was a solid season for Jonas Jerebko.


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