Friday, March 27, 2015

2015 Draft Scouting (1st Round): Justise Winslow

Justise Winslow
SF
6'7, 230
Duke, Fr.
3/26/1996
Big Board Rank: 8





Justise Winslow may not be the main attraction at Duke, but he has been a pivotal piece of the team's success in the 2014-15 season.  As Jahlil Okafor's second banana, Winslow has had a solid season at both ends of the floor.  Although he is built ideally for the SF position, Winslow provides enough shooting and athleticism to play in an NBA backcourt.  With an NBA-ready body for either wing position, Winslow will be an enticing prospect for any team looking for talent at the 2 or the 3.  Although, seeing as this is a Pistons-centric scouting report, we'll discuss him here as a SF.

No matter if it's at the college, high school or AAU level, or in international play, the best way to define Winslow is to say he's productive.  Winslow rebounds well for a perimeter player, can be a playmaker when it is asked of him and is an efficient scorer.  Take a look at Winslow's numbers at relevant competition levels:

League
PPG
APG
RPG
BPG
SPG
FG%
3P%
FT%
High School 
(4 yrs.)
23.9
3.2
12.8
2.0
2.2
47.8%
29.9%
74.2%
Nike EYBL
(18 games)
13.8
4.3
7.3
0.5
1.7
53.5%
20.0%
69.3%
FIBA
(22 games)
10.7
1.7
6.9
0.8
1.9
53.1%
36.4%
56.9%
NCAA (Fr.)
12.1
2.2
6.3
0.8
1.3
48.6%
40.0%
61.2%

While Winslow hasn't posted spectacular figures at any level, aside from high school ball, his efficiency and well-rounded production will likely travel with him to whichever NBA city he ends up in.

STRENGTHS

In my opinion, Winslow's greatest asset at this point in his development is his NBA-ready physique.  Aside from Stanley Johnson, there isn't a prospect in this year's draft who is more prepared for the physical rigors of NBA competition.  That should allow Winslow to do what he does well from day one.  It will also make him prepared to be a positive influence on the defensive end of the floor from game one.

Winslow has also come a long way as a shooter, to the point that it wouldn't be unfair to say that he is an asset in catch-and-shoot situations.  Winslow should also be a sufficient scorer off the ball and in transition thanks to his size, excellent athleticism and finishing ability.  His ball-handling isn't far behind, but isn't necessarily a strength at this point in his development.  As mentioned above, his rebounding and passing are also strong for his position.

WEAKNESSES

Although Winslow's game is well-rounded, he doesn't create enough offense on his own to be the focal point of an NBA offense.  His game is better suited for being the third or fourth option, used as a piece who moves off the ball and spots up for open shots.  Another puzzling area where Winslow has struggled is the FT line.  While Winslow shot a decent 74% in high school, he has not been so successful in other competitions.  A perimeter player with his skill level should be a better, more consistent foul shooter.  His body and game should see him draw  plenty of free throws, which aren't as valuable if he only shoots in the low or mid-60s.

FIT WITH PISTONS/AVAILABILITY

The Pistons appear to be set for the future at PG, SG and C, in terms of starters.  Justise Winslow would be an excellent addition to the lineup at SF, giving the team a potential lockdown defender and another wing who can score in transition and in half-court sets.  Winslow would be an excellent fit in Detroit.

Mock Draft (Date)
Winslow’s Position
Detroit’s Pick
Draft Express (3/25)
7th - Denver
8th – Mario Hezonja
NBADraft.net (3/15)
7th – Detroit
Winslow
CBS Sports – Vecenie (2/27)
8th - Utah
10th – Kevon Looney
Basketball Insiders - Koutroupis (3/1)
8th – Detroit
Winslow

As things currently stand, the Pistons appear to be in the ideal position to pick Winslow, as most projections have him coming off the board at pick 7 or 8.  The Pistons should be thrilled to have a chance to pick Winslow.  He would easily provide the Pistons with their most talented SF since Tayshaun Prince (round one) and arguably have the best potential of any Piston at the position since Grant Hill.

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