Sunday, May 10, 2015

2015 Draft Scouting (2nd Round): Richaun Holmes

Richaun Holmes
PF
6'10, 235
Bowling Green, Sr.
10/15/1993
Big Board Rank: 38







Richaun Holmes isn't a household name for even the casual college hoops fan.  He's spent the last three years trying to end the Falcons' five year winning season drought.  Holmes' stellar play as a senior turned BGSU into a MAC contender in his final season, which saw the Falcons go 21-12, earning a bid in the CIT.  He was one of two Falcons to average double digits in scoring for the season, finishing the year with 14.7 PPG, 8.0 RPG and 2.7 BPG on .563/.419/.712 shooting.  Even after his excellent senior year, Holmes was looked at as a late 2nd-rounder to undrafted prospect.  Then he went to the seniors-only Portsmouth Invitational (PIT) and was one of the top performers during the event.  Holmes put up 14.7 PPG, 7.7 RPG and 3.7 BPG in three games played, and was widely regarded as the best prospect on the floor during the week.  Holmes has turned himself into a legitimate candidate to be drafted in the 2nd round, and could play himself into the early or middle part of the 2nd with a good showing at the NBA Combine.


Physically, Holmes is close to NBA-ready, but may need to add 5-10 pounds to ensure he's comfortable defensively.  At 235 he may struggle to defend post-oriented PFs, limiting his ability to earn minutes early in his career.  That's his only physical limitation though, as he's a legitimate 6'10 in shoes and has a 7'1 wingspan.  He posted a 34" no-step vertical at the PIT, which would have ranked 3rd at last year's NBA Combine.  Athletically speaking, Holmes is one of the best prospects in the 2015 NBA Draft.

Holmes had a productive career at BGSU, earning first team All-MAC honors as a senior and third team honors as a junior:

Season
PPG
RPG
BPG
SPG
FG%
3P%
3PAr
FT%
FTr
2012-13
6.5
5.0
2.3
0.5
63.3%
0%
.014
62.0%
.360
2013-14
13.3
7.7
2.8
1.1
50.7%
30.0%
.135
70.6%
.541
2014-15
14.7
8.0
2.7
0.7
56.3%
41.9%
.147
71.2%
.522

The most impressive thing here is that Holmes' 2.3 BPG as a sophomore came in only 18.8 minutes per game.  His ability to both block and challenge shots should be his best trait defensively at the next level.  He added a three point shot to his repertoire as a junior, connecting on 30 of 85 attempts over the course of his career at BGSU.  That wasn't a huge part of his game, as evidenced by a low 3PAr, but it's something for him to continue developing at the next level.  With his athleticism and energy, Holmes was a load to handle inside the arc, converting FG attempts at a high rate and making frequent trips to the FT line.  He may need to add some weight/strength to keep that up as a pro, but again, it's something for him to develop.

STRENGTHS

Holmes is the starter kit for what you want out of a PF in today's NBA.  He's tall, athletic, long and has the makings of a passable jump shot, if not a good one.  Combine that with his energy and it's not hard to see him turning into a really useful bench player, with the possibility that he's even a starter at some point.  He's an electric dunker and one of the better shot blockers in the draft.  If he keeps working, his upside is much better than most second round pick.s

WEAKNESSES

As mentioned above, Holmes is a bit slender.  He can get by at 235, but it would be in his best interest to put on another 10 pounds, even if that does eat away at a little of his explosiveness.  He only had one season where it looked like his jumper was good, so that lends to some concerns about him being able to shoot the ball at the next level.

FIT WITH THE PISTONS/AVAILABILITY

Whether or not it makes sense to bring Holmes on board depends on how the Pistons view Quincy Miller.  If they view Miller as a SF, there's room to take Holmes and use him as a developmental project at PF.  There's no guarantee that Holmes will be ready to play right away.  If the Pistons see Miller as a PF, it may not make sense to have two guys that you see as long-term developmental projects at one position.  If there is room for Holmes, Detroit could use his energy, athleticism and potential outside shot at the PF spot.  Holmes could be a dynamic fit as a bench PF, much like Anthony Tolliver is now.

Mock Draft (Date)
Holmes’ Position
Detroit’s Pick
Draft Express (4/28)
48th – Oklahoma City  
38th – Michael Qualls
CBS Sports – Vecenie (4/29)
60th - Philadelphia
38th – Dakari Johnson
NBADraft.net (3/16)
Undrafted
38th – Moussa Diagne

I'm a bit higher on Holmes than most.  At this point, most people would have Holmes still on the board when the Pistons pick at 38.  If he has a big showing at the NBA Combine, that could change.  The second round is about finding guys with upside, count me in on adding Holmes with the 38th pick.

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