Friday, May 8, 2015

2015 Off-Season Primer

With the 2014-15 season in the books, it's time to turn our attention to what's unfortunately been the most interesting part of the Pistons' year for the last half decade: the off-season.  The festivities will kick off with the draft lottery in May, followed by the draft in June and free agency and (my personal offseason favorite) the Orlando Summer League in July.  Although every off-season is important, this year comes with added significance.  With important unrestricted and restricted free agent decisions to be made on Greg Monroe and Reggie Jackson and a vital lottery selection on the board, Stan Van Gundy and the front office have their work cut out for them this summer.  Also important is improving the depth on a team that too often saw the bench come in and let a game get away.  The good news is, the Pistons appear to have plenty of flexibility entering the summer.  Without further ado, here are the critical points of every piece of the Pistons' off-season.

2015 NBA DRAFT LOTTERY - MAY 19, 2015, ~8:30 p.m. - ESPN

The Pistons finished the season with the 8th-worst record in the NBA, giving them the 8th-best draft odds in this year's lottery.  The usually reliable RealGM website claims the lottery is on the 20th this year; disregard that.  Here's a breakdown of the probability that each lottery team picks in a certain spot:

Finish
Team
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
10th
11th
12th
13th
14th
1st
MIN
.250
.215
.178
.357
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
2nd
NYK
.199
.188
.171
.319
.123
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
3rd
PHI
.156
.157
.156
.226
.265
.040
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
4th
LAL
.119
.126
.133
.099
.351
.160
.012
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
5th
ORL
.088
.097
.107
---
.261
.360
.084
.004
---
---
---
---
---
---
6th
SAC
.063
.071
.081
---
---
.439
.305
.040
.001
---
---
---
---
---
7th
DEN
.043
.049
.058
---
---
---
.599
.232
.018
---
---
---
---
---
8th
DET
.028
.033
.039
---
---
---
---
.724
.168
.008
---
---
---
---
9th
CHA
.017
.020
.024
---
---
---
---
---
.813
.122
.004
---
---
---
10th
MIA
.011
.013
.016
---
---
---
---
---
---
.870
.089
.002
---
---
11th
IND
.008
.009
.012
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
.907
.063

---
12th
UTA
.007
.008
.010
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
.935
.039

13th
PHX
.006
.007
.009
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
.960
.018
14th
OKC
.005
.006
.007
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
.982

Although Cleveland's recent lottery night luck has proven that anything can happen, the most likely scenario has the Pistons picking 8th coming out of the draft lottery.  Last year's lottery night was a major disappointment, as the Pistons were jumped by Cleveland, which unprotected their pick and sent it to Charlotte, thanks to the Ben Gordon-Corey Maggette trade.   There's no risk of losing the pick this year, so you can watch in relative calm, and expect to see the Pistons slotted in 8th.  In recent years, the Pistons have sent Kyle Singler, Andre Drummond, Brandon Knight, Greg Monroe and VP of Operations Scott Perry as representatives on lottery night.  As of right now, there's no word on who this year's representative will be.  UPDATE: The Pistons will be sending GM Jeff Bower to the lottery festivities.

2015 NBA DRAFT - JUNE 25, 2015 - ESPN

With the Pistons two picks likely coming at 8 and 38, they should have an opportunity to add two players who can factor into and/or compete for spots in next season's rotation.  The 2015 draft class is very deep in the lottery, which should benefit the franchise in the long run.  Although they won't have a chance to draft a potential franchise cornerstone like Jahlil Okafor, Karl Towns or Emmanuel Mudiay, the Pistons will almost certainly have the opportunity to pick a solid contributor.  Whether it's Frank Kaminsky, who would stretch the floor from the PF position, Mario Hezonja or Stanley Johnson bringing a two-way threat at the SF position or even Myles Turner adding a twist to the frontcourt, Detroit might get an impact player.  The second round is thin on wings this year, but that shouldn't stop the Pistons from improving their roster.  Check out the 2015 NBA Draft Big Board at the top of the page, and read this year's crop of scouting reports to brush up on prospects who may pique the the front office's interest:

1st Round: Justise Winslow, Mario Hezonja, Stanley Johnson, Frank Kaminsky, Myles Turner, Kevon Looney, Kelly Oubre, Kristaps Porzingis

2nd Round: Dakari Johnson, Brandon Ashley, Jarell Martin, Cliff Alexander, Jordan Mickey, Robert Upshaw, Aleksandar Vezenkov

2015 Mock Draft: 1.0

FREE AGENCY - JULY 1, 2015

Free agency is the most important facet of the Pistons' off-season in 2015, with important decisions regarding the futures of Greg Monroe and Reggie Jackson looming.  Look for more on each free agent as the free agency period nears.  Using the Asset Board, which you can always find at the top of the page, let's take a look at what players have some kind of impending contract status this summer:

Key: Unrestricted Free Agent; Restricted FA; Team Option; Player Option; Non-guaranteed
Rank
Player/Asset
Position/Pick
Height
Weight
Age
Value
1
Andre Drummond
C
6'11
270
21
90
2
2015 1st Round Pick
8th
---
---
--
75
3
Greg Monroe
PF
6'10
255
24
71
4
Reggie Jackson
PG
6’3
210
25
65
5
Brandon Jennings
PG
6’1
170
25
56
6
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
SG
6’5
205
22
56
7
Spencer Dinwiddie
PG
6’6
205
22
53
8
Anthony Tolliver
PF
6’9
240
29
48
9
2015 2nd Round Pick
38th
---
---
--
45
10
Jodie Meeks
SG
6’5
210
27
43
11
Quincy Miller
F
6’10
215
22
30
12
Tayshaun Prince
SF
6’9
215
35
21
13
Caron Butler
SF
6’7
220
35
20
14
Shawne Williams
F
6’9
225
29
20
15
Joel Anthony
C
6’9
250
32
18
16
John Lucas III
PG
5’11
170
32
15
17
Cartier Martin
G/F
6’7
220
30
6
--
Projected 2015 Cap Space
$25,174,647
Average Value
43


Stan Van Gundy and the front office will have some cap room to play with this summer, with hopes of adding impact players who can fit the team's specific needs.  Check back within the next week or two for a full post breaking down what the Pistons should be looking for this summer, with full rankings of the Pistons' targets.

2015 ORLANDO SUMMER LEAGUE - JULY/TBD - NBATV

This section will be edited after the draft

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